Power Semiconductor Market Landscape: Opportunities and Challenges
2025-04-23
Over the past year, the power semiconductor market has experienced significant fluctuations, transitioning from a period of prosperity to a more subdued state. According to data from TechInsights, the global power semiconductor industry's sales revenue reached $46.8 billion in 2024, a decrease of 8% compared to 2023. This trend is not only reflected in the sales figures but also in the strategic adjustments and layoffs by industry giants.
I. Strategic Contraction by Industry Leaders
The global power semiconductor market is undergoing a deep adjustment cycle. The latest data from TechInsights shows that the industry's sales revenue decreased by 8% year-over-year to $46.8 billion in 2024, with inventory turnover days increasing by 18% to 99 days. The decline in automotive electronics demand has been the main drag, with the global electric vehicle (EV) sales growth rate plummeting from 31% in 2023 to 15% in 2024, leading to severe inventory overhangs of automotive-grade IGBT and SiC modules. Industry leaders have initiated strategic contractions:
- Capacity Optimization: Renesas Electronics postponed the launch of its new 12-inch wafer factory in Japan and reduced the capacity utilization rate of its automotive MCU production to 60%.
- Workforce Restructuring: Infineon implemented a "dual reduction strategy," planning to transfer 30% of the production capacity from its Regensburg factory in Germany to Malaysia, accompanied by the layoff of 1,400 employees.
- Technological Bet: ON Semiconductor suspended its investment in the 8-inch SiC production line, focusing resources on the development of third-generation trench gate SiC technology.
II. Intensifying Price Wars and Diverging Technology Paths
In the power semiconductor market, silicon-based IGBT, silicon-based MOSFET, and silicon carbide (SiC) are the three main products. However, these products all faced varying degrees of market headwinds in 2024.
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Material End:
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The price of 6-inch SiC substrates fell below $400 in Q4 2024, halving from its peak in 2022.
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The quotation for 8-inch SiC substrates dropped to $800, triggering an industry shakeout ahead of schedule.
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Product End:
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Product Type
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Price Change (2024 vs. 2023)
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Technical Breakthrough Direction
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Automotive IGBT Module
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Down 28%-35%
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New copper wire bonding technology
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650V SiC MOSFET
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Down 42%
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Double-sided cooling packaging technology
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Super Junction MOSFET
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Flat
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Improved deep trench etching precision
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Application End
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The penetration rate of SiC in the photovoltaic inverter field exceeded 25%, with Huawei and Sungrow leading the technological iteration.
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The 800V architecture became prevalent in the data center PSU market, with the market share of GaN devices increasing by 120% annually.
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III. Uncertainty in the Recovery of the Power Semiconductor Market
When the power semiconductor market will recover has become a focal point for industry insiders. Data from market research institutions shows that from October 2024 to June 2025, the power semiconductor market continued to be sluggish, with the market only stabilizing in July, but the recovery of growth momentum still requires time.
Demand is expected to recover from the second half of 2024, with inventory levels normalizing in the second half of 2025. The power semiconductor market size is projected to reach 3.5285 trillion yen in 2025, of which silicon power semiconductors will account for 3.147 trillion yen. Although the increase is modest, the market is expected to expand from 2026 onwards, reaching 4.5729 trillion yen by 2035.
However, there is a divergence of views among industry leaders regarding market recovery. Infineon's CEO, Jochen Hanebeck, stated that apart from artificial intelligence, there is almost no growth momentum in the end markets at present, and the cyclical recovery has been postponed. The company expects a lackluster business performance in 2025. In contrast, Noriyasu Kurihara, General Manager of Toshiba's Electronic Devices and Storage Business, believes that despite the current slow demand for power chips, business should improve in 2025.
China's leading specialty process wafer foundry, Hua Hong Semiconductor, expects the automotive and industrial markets to gradually recover in 2025, especially after inventory adjustments are largely completed and market demand returns to normal. Hua Hong Semiconductor pointed out that the demand for power devices does exist, but the main problem lies on the supply side, as the continuous launch of new domestic production lines has intensified competition.
IV. Opportunities in Emerging Application Fields
With the slowdown in the development momentum of the electric vehicle market, the
industry is increasingly focusing on other application fields such as data centers, DC fast charging, renewable energy generation and storage, and industrial power supplies. In these emerging application fields, domestic manufacturers, leveraging their breakthroughs in the SiC market, are poised to capture a larger market share.
V. Conclusion
The power semiconductor market faced significant headwinds in 2024, with industry giants implementing layoffs, market contraction, and intense price wars. However, domestic power semiconductor companies, with their cost advantages, flexible market strategies, and precise grasp of local demand, have continuously captured market share, demonstrating strong competitiveness. Although market recovery remains uncertain, the rise of emerging application fields has brought new opportunities to the power semiconductor industry. In the future, with continuous technological progress and gradual market recovery, the power ic semiconductor industry is expected to usher in a new period of growth.
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